Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.548063 0.717914 0.911435 1.145225 1.417020 1.720196 2.081064
2025-04-27 0.322907 0.529948 0.799636 1.162613 1.624660 2.180322 2.886003
2025-05-04 0.174506 0.374254 0.675635 1.126631 1.749423 2.547013 3.613059
2025-05-11 0.087935 0.261521 0.569915 1.082428 1.844591 2.874572 4.309787
2025-05-18 0.046004 0.197099 0.513123 1.089711 2.001229 3.286011 5.133377
2025-05-25 0.019517 0.138831 0.442654 1.055300 2.084791 3.595265 5.831009
2025-06-01 0.010151 0.116278 0.432509 1.117599 2.317234 4.123832 6.847411
2025-06-08 0.003592 0.087887 0.395888 1.121773 2.452489 4.513640 7.681814
2025-06-15 0.001616 0.078363 0.402189 1.208062 2.727831 5.121929 8.844279
2025-06-22 0.000441 0.065681 0.393326 1.260324 2.946424 5.650745 9.906334
2025-06-29 0.000033 0.052025 0.373496 1.284250 3.114564 6.105846 10.871715
2025-07-06 NaN 0.036180 0.333823 1.254541 3.181000 6.401015 11.606870
2025-07-13 NaN 0.026907 0.313093 1.267289 3.330317 6.840662 12.581113
2025-07-20 NaN 0.019697 0.294322 1.280790 3.481241 7.288219 13.579606
2025-07-27 NaN 0.011757 0.258229 1.239730 3.521163 7.553730 14.307617
2025-08-03 NaN 0.006223 0.223267 1.191205 3.539493 7.781138 14.980399
2025-08-10 NaN 0.003851 0.208464 1.198296 3.671189 8.203203 15.963322
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001682 0.182270 1.161217 3.704978 8.456458 16.685742
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001319 0.186419 1.227499 3.966288 9.112217 18.055850
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000615 0.173900 1.231852 4.090708 9.530514 19.055688
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000571 0.184617 1.323724 4.415430 10.310359 20.644887
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000375 0.185682 1.379306 4.660412 10.953467 22.024136
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000164 0.179267 1.404735 4.837693 11.479473 23.222965